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Boomers Won't Go Quietly
March 9, 2005, USA Today
By
BEN BROWN
Enough
already with the baby boomer time bomb.
As debate over the future of Social Security and health care heats
up, so does the imagery of The Coming Generational Storm, as the
recent book by Laurence Kotlikoff and Scott Burns screams in its
title. And that's a mild metaphor compared with what other commentators
see in the approaching transition of 77 million baby boomers from
workplace to whatever.
The first of the boomers, born between 1946 and 1964, turn 65 in
2011. By 2030, the 65-plus segment will account for something like
20% of the U.S. population, twice the 65-plus share in 2000. Hence
the geezer glut. And hence, by inference, the certain shredding
of the social safety net and the coming of the new Dark Age.
I'm
offended, I have to admit. I'm one of the geezers-in-waiting, a
boomer born in 1946 and heir to a presumption enjoyed during the
past half-century that the universe pretty much revolves around
us. In case you haven't heard, we are the most educated and affluent
generation in world history. Our numbers have made us the moving
bulge in the market, the pig in the python. We put the me in consume.
So
now, after a career of changing everything we touched, we're expected
to gum up the works with desperation in old age?
I
don't think so.
A
bogus premise
First
of all, the image of old folks as desperate folks is bogus in general.
Thanks in part to senior-friendly public policies during the past
three decades, U.S. citizens over 65 belong to the age group least
likely to live in poverty. Between 1984 and 2001, the median net
worth of households headed by people 65-plus increased by 82% to
$179,000. And when boomers move into that age group, the pot is
expected to swell, along with the influence that comes with assets.
Second, no other generation has changed its personality as it aged.
The Depression babies have remained, in general, thrifty to a fault.
Current retirees who came of age in the 1950s look as if they will
jitterbug into their 90s. Why should boomers stop being world-changers?
Marketers are betting we won't. Today in Philadelphia, the American
Society on Aging and co-sponsors are throwing the second annual
Boomer Business Summit, where attendees are invited to compete for
a $10,000 grand prize for a business plan "that has the highest
potential for success in the 50-plus market." Expect the good
times to keep on rolling, says summit promotion material: "The
boomers' future will be as creative as the past."
OK, not every boomer is going to be on the joy ride. That's because
not everybody got on the bus to begin with. As they head through
midlife, individuals within the boomer generation vary more from
one another in terms of income and education than in any recent
generation, says a 2004 study by two Duke University sociologists.
In retirement, "some are going to be well off, some aren't,"
study co-author Mary Elizabeth Hughes says.
So, here's the question: Are there enough boomers with the means
and the inclination to, first of all, relieve the pressure on everybody
else to provide for boomers in old age, and then to maybe leave
a little extra in the way of a positive legacy? Why not? We still
have the advantage of demography.
"The
sheer number of people can fill all the niches," says Ron Manheimer,
the executive director of the North Carolina Center for Creative
Retirement at the University of North Carolina at Asheville.
A
generation's passion
Here
are some healthy signs:
Since 1988, Manheimer's center has been a regional nexus of leadership
development, career transitioning and lifelong learning for older
citizens. The passion for engaged lives in the current generation
of retirees might just be a "rehearsal" for the bigger
show when the boomers hit the same ages, Manheimer says.
Marc Freedman, author of Prime Time: How Baby Boomers Will Revolutionize
Retirement and Transform America, senses a potential "reawakening
of idealism" among aging boomers. "I love this idea of
an unfinished revolution," he says. "People want to feel
this state of life is about something with purpose."
In Boulder, Colo., organizers of the Elder Cohousing Network are
discovering a burgeoning market for those seeking ways to take charge
of designing their own communities in retirement. After launching
a Web site six months ago, "we got something like 5,000 hits
from individuals and groups in every state in the U.S.," says
co-founder Neshama Abraham. So, on March 18, the network is hosting
the first of three workshops on designing shared neighborhoods.
Next January, as the first boomers begin turning 60, a partnership
between the Harvard School of Public Health and the MetLife Foundation
launches a campaign to capture the generation for a mentoring initiative.
"Our message in January for boomers," says Jay Winsten,
associate dean of the Harvard School of Public Health, "is,
'Happy birthday. Now what are you doing with the rest of your life?'"
Perfect
question. We boomers can think of the coming years as a last chance
to ditch the underachiever tag. Time to grow up before we die. If
we're who we've imagined ourselves to be our entire lives, we have
it in us to help resolve the toughest issues before the nation,
including the tough issue of how to cope with so many of us growing
old.
Ben Brown writes for Southern Living and its sister magazines and
is a member of USA TODAY's board of contributors.
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