Working Papers

2013

Using Interviewer Random Effects to Calculate Unbiased HIV Prevalence Estimates in the Presence of Non-Response: a Bayesian Approach
Mark E. McGovern, Till Bärnighausen, Joshua A. Salomon, David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#101.2013

The Emergence of Three Human Development Clubs
Sebastian Vollmer, Hajo Holzmann, Florian Ketterer, Stephan Klasen, David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#100.2013

2012

Estimating Household Permanent Income from Ownership of Physical Assets
June Y. T. Po, Jocelyn E. Finlay, Mark B. Brewster, David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#97.2012

Reproductive Health Laws Around the World
Jocelyn E. Finlay, David Canning, June Y. T. Po
PGDA Working Paper#96.2012

Microeconomic Foundations of the Demographic Dividend
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Günther Fink, Jocelyn E. Finlay
PGDA Working Paper#93.2012

Increasing life expectancy and optimal retirement: does population aging necessarily undermine economic prosperity?
Klaus Prettner, David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#91.2012

The Association of Maternal Age with Infant Mortality, Child Anthropometric Failure, Diarrhoea, and Anaemia for First Births: Evidence from 55 Low- and Middle-Income Countries
Jocelyn E. Finlay, Emre Özaltin, and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#88.2012

2011

The Effect of Childhood Measles Vaccination on School Enrollment in Matlab, Bangladesh
Julia Driessen, Abdur Razzaque, Damian Walker, and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#81.2011

Progress in Health around the World
David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#80.2011

The Causes and Consequences of the Demographic Transition
David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#79.2011

Investing in Health to Improve the Wellbeing of the Disadvantaged: Reversing the Augment of the Marmot Reports
David Canning and Diana Bowser
PGDA Working Paper#78.2011

The Effect of Malaria on Settlement and Land Use: Evidence from the Brazilian Amazon
Shufang Zhang, Marcia C. Castro, and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#77.2011

The Effect of Maternal Tetanus Immunization on Children’s Schooling Attainment in Matlab, Bangladesh: Follow-up of a Randomized Trial
David Canning, Abdur Razzaque, Julia Driessen, Damian G. Walker, Peter Kim Streatfield, and Mohammad Yunus
PGDA Working Paper#76.2011

The Effect of Vaccination on Children’s Physical and Cognitive Development in the Philippines

David E. Bloom David Canning and Erica Seiguer
PGDA Working Paper#69.2011

Demographic Change and Economic Growth in South Asia
David E. Bloom, David Canning, and Larry Rosenberg
PGDA Working Paper#67.2011

Implications of Population Aging for Economic Growth
David E. Bloom, David Canning, and Günther Fink
PGDA Working Paper#64.2011

2010

Rethinking the Benefits and Costs of Childhood Vaccination: The Example of the Haemophilus influenzae Type B Vaccine

Till Bärnighausen, David E. Bloom, David Canninga, A. Friedmana, Orine Levine, Jennifer O’Brien, Lois Privor-Dummc, Damian Walker
PGDA Working Paper#56.2010

2009

Axiomatic Foundations of Cost Effectiveness Analysis
David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#51.2009

Effects of State-Level Public Spending on Health on the Mortality Probability in India
Mansour Farahani, S.V. Subramanian, and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#50.2009

Short and Long-Term Relationship Between Physician Density on Infant Mortality: A Longitudinal Econometric Analysis
Mansour Farahani, S.V. Subramanian, and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#49.2009

The Effect of Social Security Reform on Male Retirement in High and Middle Income Countries
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Guenther Fink, and Jocelyn Finlay

The Graying of the Global Population and Its Macroeconomic Consequences
David E. Bloom, David Canning, and Guenther Fink

Disease and Development Revisited
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

The Cost of Low Fertility in Europe
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2008

Demographic Change and Economic Growth in Asia
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

Demographic Change, Institutional Settings, and Labor Supply
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

Population Aging and Economic Growth
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

Population Aging and Economic Growth in Asia
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging
Social Interactions and Fertility in Developing Countries
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

The High Cost of Low Fertility in Europe
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

The Mortality and Morbidity Transitions in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from Adult Heights
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

Urbanization and the Wealth of Nations
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

2007

A Theory of Retirement
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

Does Age Structure Forecast Economic Growth?
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Fertility, Female Labor Force Participation, and the Demographic Dividend
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Realizing the Demographic Dividend: Is Africa any different?
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

The Contribution of Population Health and Demographic Change to Economic Growth in China and India
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

The Height of Women in Sub-Saharan Africa: the Role of Health, Nutrition, and Income in Childhood
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

Urban Settlement: Data, Measures, and Trends
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

Valuing Lives Equally and Welfare Economics
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

2006

Assessing the Economic Impact of HIV/AIDS on Nigerian Households: A Propensity Score Matching Approach
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

Demographic Change, Social Security Systems, and Savings
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Demographic challenges, fiscal sustainability and economic growth
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

Epidemics and Economics
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

Global Demography: Fact, Force and Future
MPRA Paper, University Library of Munich, Germany

The Consequences of Population Health for Economic Performance
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

The Economics of HIV/AIDS in Low-Income Countries: The Case for Prevention
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

The Effect of Subjective Survival Probabilities on Retirement and Wealth in the United States
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

2005

Global Demographic Change: Dimensions and Economic Significance
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

The Effect of Improvements in Health and Longevity on Optimal Retirement and Saving
PGDA Working Papers, Program on the Global Demography of Aging

2004

Price Setting General Equilibrium with Intermediate Goods
Discussion Paper Series, Department of Economics, Department of Economics, University of St. Andrews

The Effect of Population Health on Foreign Direct Investment
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2002

Longevity and Life Cycle Savings
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Technological Diffusion, Conditional Convergence, and Economic Growth
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

The Wealth of Nations: Fundamental Forces Versus Poverty Traps
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2001

Economic Growth and the Demographic Transition
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

The Effect of Health on Economic Growth: Theory and Evidence
NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

2000

Structural Stability and Robustness to Bounded Rationality
Discussion Paper Series In Economics And Econometrics, University of Southampton, Economics Division, School of Social Sciences

The social rate of return on infrastructure investments
Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank

1999

Infrastructure’s contribution to aggregate output
Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank

Optimal Credit Rationing in Not-For-Profit Financial Institutions
Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers, Harvard – Institute of Economic Research

1998

A database of world infrastructure stocks, 1950-95
Policy Research Working Paper Series, The World Bank

1992

Learning Language Conventions in Common Interest Signaling Games
Discussion Papers, Columbia University, Department of Economics

Learning the Subgame Perfect Equilibrium
Discussion Papers, Columbia University, Department of Economics

1990

AVERAGE BEHAVIOUR IN LEARNING MODELS
Working Papers, Cambridge – Risk, Information & Quantity Signals

INVENTORY CYCLES, DISEQUILIBRIUM DYNAMICS AND EFFECTIVE DEMAND
Working Papers, Cambridge – Risk, Information & Quantity Signals

RATIONALITY, COMPUTABILITY AND THE LIMITS OF GAME THEORY
Working Papers, Cambridge – Risk, Information & Quantity Signals

SOCIAL EQUILIBRIUM
Working Papers, Cambridge – Risk, Information & Quantity Signals

1989

BOTTLENECKS AND PERSISTENT UMEMPLOYMENT: WHY DO BOOMS END?
Working Papers, Tilburg – Center for Economic Research

Convergence to Equilibrium in a Sequence for Games with Learning
STICERD – Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE

OPTIMAL MONETARY POLICY AND MISSING MARKETS
Working Papers, London School of Economics – Centre for Labour Economics

1988

Rationality and Game Theory when Players are Turing Machines
STICERD – Theoretical Economics Paper Series, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE