Working Papers
The PDGA and the Harvard Center for Population and Development Studies invite members of the public health community to submit working papers reflecting their research. The purpose of our Working Paper Series is to share research prior to journal publication and stimulate debate and critical comments. Working papers also give an opportunity to authors to publish longer and more detailed material than can appear in a journal.
All papers go through a review process at the Harvard Center for Population and Development Studies. However, full responsibility for the content of the papers remains with the author(s).
For submissions, comments or questions, please email Maria Joy at mjoy@hsph.harvard.edu.
2012
- Estimating Household Permanent Income from Ownership of Physical Assets
June Y. T. Po, Jocelyn E. Finlay, Mark B. Brewster, David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#97.2012
- Reproductive Health Laws Around the World
Jocelyn E. Finlay, David Canning, June Y. T. Po
PGDA Working Paper#96.2012
- Still Unequal At Birth: Birth Weight, Socioeconomic Status, And Outcomes at Age 9
Mark E. McGovern
PGDA Working Paper#95.2012
- A Practical Introduction to Stata
Mark E. McGovern
PGDA Working Paper#94.2012
- Microeconomic Foundations of the Demographic Dividend
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Günther Fink, Jocelyn E. Finlay
PGDA Working Paper#93.2012
- Youth in the Balance
David E. Bloom
PGDA Working Paper#92.2012
- Increasing life expectancy and optimal retirement: does population aging necessarily undermine economic prosperity?
Klaus Prettner, David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#91.2012
- Public education, technological change and economic prosperity: semi-endogenous growth revisited
Klaus Prettner
PGDA Working Paper#90.2012
- Global Population Ageing: Peril or Promise?
John Beard, Simon Biggs, David Bloom, Linda Fried, Paul Hogan,
Alexandre Kalache, and Jay Olshansky
PGDA Working Paper#89.2012
- The Association of Maternal Age with Infant Mortality, Child Anthropometric Failure, Diarrhoea, and Anaemia for First Births: Evidence from 55 Low- and Middle-Income Countries
Jocelyn E. Finlay, Emre Özaltin, and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#88.2012
- The Global Economic Burden of Noncommunicable Diseases
Bloom, D.E., Cafiero, E.T., Jané-Llopis, E., Abrahams-Gessel, S., Bloom, L.R., Fathima, S., Feigl, A.B., Gaziano, T., Mowafi, M., Pandya, A., Prettner, K., Rosenberg, L., Seligman, B., Stein, A.Z., and Weinstein, C.
PGDA Working Paper#87.2012
- Health systems and HIV treatment in sub-Saharan Africa: Matching intervention and program evaluation strategies
Till Bärnighausen, David E. Bloom, and Salal Humair
PGDA Working Paper#86.2012
- Strengthening Health Systems: Perspectives for economic evaluation
Till Bärnighausen, David E. Bloom, and Salal Humair
PGDA Working Paper#85.2012
- Declining fertility and economic well-being: do education and health ride to the rescue?
Klaus Prettner, David E. Bloom, and Holger Strulik
PGDA Working Paper#84.2012
- Social Protection of Older People
David E. Bloom, Emmanuel Jimenez, and Larry Rosenberg
PGDA Working Paper#83.2011
- Longitudinal Aging Study in India: Vision, Design, Implementation, and Some Early Results
P. Arokiasamy, D. Bloom, J. Lee, K. Feeney, and M. Ozolins
PGDA Working Paper#82.2011
- The Effect of Childhood Measles Vaccination on School Enrollment in Matlab, Bangladesh
Julia Driessen, Abdur Razzaque, Damian Walker, and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#81.2011
- Progress in Health around the World
David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#80.2011
- The Causes and Consequences of the Demographic Transition
David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#79.2011
- Investing in Health to Improve the Wellbeing of the Disadvantaged: Reversing the Augment of the Marmot Reports
David Canning and Diana Bowser
PGDA Working Paper#78.2011
- The Effect of Malaria on Settlement and Land Use: Evidence from the Brazilian Amazon
Shufang Zhang, Marcia C. Castro, and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#77.2011
- The Effect of Maternal Tetanus Immunization on Children’s Schooling Attainment in Matlab, Bangladesh: Follow-up of a Randomized Trial
David Canning, Abdur Razzaque, Julia Driessen, Damian G. Walker, Peter Kim Streatfield, and Mohammad Yunus
PGDA Working Paper#76.2011
- From Burden to “Best Buys”: Reducing the Economic Impact of Non-Communicable Diseases in Low- and Middle-Income Countries
David E. Bloom, Dan Chisholm, Eva Jané-Llopis, Klaus Prettner, Adam Stein, and Andrea Feigl
PGDA Working Paper#75.2011
- R&D-based Growth in the Post-modern Era
Holger Strulik, Klaus Prettner, and Alexia Prskawetz
PGDA Working Paper#74.2011
- Long-Run Trends of Human Aging and Longevity
Holger Strulik and Sebastian Vollmer
PGDA Working Paper#73.2011
- Population Aging and Endogenous Economic Growth
Klaus Prettner
PGDA Working Paper#72.2011
- Population Aging: Facts, Challenges, and Responses
David E. Bloom, Axel Boersch-Supan, Patrick McGee, and Atsushi Seike
PGDA Working Paper#71.2011
- The Economic Effects of Malaria Eradication: Evidence from an Intervention in Uganda
Jeremy Barofsky, Claire Chase, Tobenna Anekwe, and Farshad Farzadfar
PGDA Working Paper#70.2011
- The Effect of Vaccination on Children’s Physical and Cognitive Development in the Philippines
David E. Bloom David Canning and Erica Seiguer
PGDA Working Paper#69.2011
- The Future of South Asia: Population Dynamics, Economic Prospects, and Regional Coherence
David E. Bloom and Larry Rosenberg
PGDA Working Paper#68.2011
- Demographic Change and Economic Growth in South Asia
David E. Bloom, David Canning, and Larry Rosenberg
PGDA Working Paper#67.2011
- Demographics and Development Policy
David E. Bloom and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#66.2011
- Population Dynamics in India and Implications for Economic Growth
David E. Bloom
PGDA Working Paper#65.2011
- Implications of Population Aging for Economic Growth
David E. Bloom, David Canning, and Günther Fink
PGDA Working Paper#64.2011
- The Long-run Determinants of Fertility: One Century of Demographic Change 1900-1999
Dierk Herzer, Holger Strulik, Sebastian Vollmer
PGDA Working Paper#63.2010
- Nigeria The Next Generation Report
David E. Bloom et al.
PGDA Working Paper#62.2010
- Introduction: Social Security and the Challenge of Demographic Change
David E. Bloom and Roddy McKinnon
PGDA Working Paper#61.2010
- Economic Security Arrangements in the Context of Population Ageing in India
David E. Bloom, Ajay Mahal, Larry Rosenberg, and Jaypee Sevilla
PGDA Working Paper#60.2010
- Data Sets on Pensions and Health: Data Collection and Sharing for Policy Design
Jinkook Lee
PGDA Working Paper#59.2010
- Optimal Aging and Death
Carl-Johan Dalgaard and Holger Strulik
PGDA Working Paper#58.2010
- The Fertility Transition Around the World -1950-2005
Holger Strulik and Sebastian Vollmer
PGDA Working Paper#57.2010
- Rethinking the Benefits and Costs of Childhood Vaccination: The Example of the Haemophilus influenzae Type B Vaccine
Till Bärnighausen, David E. Bloom, David Canninga, A. Friedmana, Orine Levine, Jennifer O’Brien, Lois Privor-Dummc, Damian Walker
PGDA Working Paper#56.2010
- Universal Antiretroviral Treatment: The Challenge of Human Resources
Till B?rnighausen, David E. Bloom, Salal Humair
PGDA Working Paper#55.2010
- Economic Consequences of Low Fertility in Europe
Guest Editors: David E. Bloom and Alfonso Sousa-Poza
PGDA Working Paper#54.2010
- Population Aging and Economic Growth in China
Judith Banister, David E. Bloom, and Larry Rosenberg
PGDA Working Paper#53.2010
- A Mathematical Model for Estimating the Number of Health Workers Required for Universal Antiretrovial Treatment
Till Bärnighausen, David E. Bloom and Salal Humair
PGDA Working Paper#52.2009 - Axiomatic Foundations of Cost Effectiveness Analysis
David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#51.2009 - Effects of State-Level Public Spending on Health on the Mortality Probability in India
Mansour Farahani, S.V. Subramanian, and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#50.2009 - Short and Long-Term Relationship Between Physician Density on Infant Mortality: A Longitudinal Econometric Analysis
Mansour Farahani, S.V. Subramanian, and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#49.2009 - The Effect of Social Security Reform on Male Retirement in High and Middle Income Countries
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Guenther Fink, and Jocelyn Finlay
PGDA Working Paper#48.2009 - The Graying of the Global Population and Its Macroeconomic Consequences
David E. Bloom, David Canning, and Guenther Fink
PGDA Working Paper#47.2009 - Changing Research Perspectives on the Global Health Workforce
Till Bärnighausen and David E. Bloom
PGDA Working Paper#46.2009 - The Economic Case for Expanding Vaccination Coverage of Children
Till Bärnighausen, David E. Bloom, David Canning, Abigail Friedman, Orin Levine, Jennifer O’Brien, Lois Privor-Dumm, Damian Walker
PGDA Working Paper#45.2009
- Disease and Development Revisited
David E. Bloom, David Canning, and Guenther Fink
PGDA Working Paper#44.2009
- Financial Incentives for Return of Service in Underserved Areas: A Systematic Review
Till Bärnighausen and David E. Bloom
PGDA Working Paper#43.2009
- Demographic Change, Institutional Settings, and Labor Supply
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Günther Fink and Jocelyn Finlay
PGDA Working Paper#42.2008 - Demographic Change and Economic Growth in Asia
David E. Bloom and Jocelyn Finlay
PGDA Working Paper#41.2008
- Population Aging and Economic Growth in Asia
David E. Bloom, David Canning and Jocelyn Finlay
PGDA Working Paper#40.2008 - Accounting for the Full Benefits of Childhood Caccination in South Africa
Till Bärnighausen, David E. Bloom, David Canning and Jennifer O’Brien
PGDA Working Paper#39.2008 - Estimating Health Worker Need to Provide Antiretroviral Treatment in the Developing World
Till Bärnighausen, David E. Bloom and Salal Humair
PGDA Working Paper#38.2008 - Designing Financial-Incentive Programmes for Return of Medical Service in Underserved Areas of Sub-Saharan Africa
Till Bärnighausen and David E. Bloom
PGDA Working Paper#37.2008 - Financial Incentives for Return of Service in Underserved Areas: A Systematic Review
Till Bärnighausen and David E. Bloom
PGDA Working Paper#36.2008
- Disease Control
Dean T. Jamison, Prabhat Jha and David E. Bloom
PGDA Working Paper#35.2008 - Social Interactions and Fertility in Developing Countries
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Isabel Günther and Sebastian Linnemayr
PGDA Working Paper#34.2008 - The Mortality and Morbidity Transitions in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from Adult Heights
Yoko Akachi and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#33.2008
- The High Cost of Low Fertility in Europe
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Günther Fink, and Jocelyn E. Finlay
PGDA Working Paper#32.2008 - Population Aging and Economic Growth
David E. Bloom, David Canning and Günther Fink
PGDA Working Paper#31.2008 - Urbanization and the Wealth of Nations
David E. Bloom, David Canning and Günther Fink
PGDA Working Paper#30.2008
- Urban Settlement: Data, Measures, and Trends
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Günther Fink, Tarun Khanna, and Patrick Salyer
PGDA Working Paper#29.2007 - The Contribution of Population Health and Demographic Change to Economic Growth in China and India
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Linlin Hu, Yuanli Liu, Ajay Mahal, and Winnie Yip
PGDA Working Paper#28.2007 - Valuing Lives Equally and Welfare Economics
David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#27.2007
- A Theory of Retirement
David E. Bloom, David Canning, and Michael Moore
PGDA Working Paper#26.2007 - Fertility, Female Labor Force Participation, and the Demographic Dividend
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Günther Fink and Jocelyn E. Finlay
PGDA Working Paper#25.2007 - “Conditional scholarships” for HIV/AIDS Health Workers: Educating and Retaining the Workforce to Provide Antiretroviral Treatment in Sub-Saharan Africa
Till Bärnighausen and David E. Bloom
PGDA Working Paper#24.2007 - Realizing the Demographic Dividend: Is Africa Any Different?
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Günther Fink, Jocelyn Finlay
PGDA Working Paper#23.2007 - The Height of Women in Sub-Saharan Africa: the Role of Health, Nutrition, and Income in Childhood
Yoko Akachi and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper#22.2007 - Does Age Structure Forecast Economic Growth?
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Günther Fink, Jocelyn Finlay
PGDA Working Paper #20.2007
- Demographic Change, Social Security Systems, and Savings
David E. Bloom and David Canning, Rick Mansfield, and Michael Moore
PGDA Working Paper #19.2006 - The Economics of HIV/AIDS in Low-Income Countries: The Case for Prevention
David Canning
PGDA Working Paper #18.2006 - The Effect of Subjective Survival Probabilities on Retirement and Wealth in the United States
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Michael Moore, and Younghwan Song
PGDA Working Paper #17.2006 - Assessing the Economic Impact of HIV/AIDS on Nigerian Households: A Propensity Score Matching Approach
David Canning, Ajay Mahal, Kunle Odumosu, Prosper Okonkwo
PGDA Working Paper #16.2006 - Booms, Busts, and Echoes: How the Biggest Demographic Upheaval in History
is Affecting Global Development
David E. Bloom and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper #15.2006
- Global Demography: Fact, Force and Future
David E. Bloom and David Canning
PGDA Working Paper #14.2006 - The Consequences of Population Health for Economic Performance
Marcella Alsan, David Bloom, David Canning, and Dean Jamison
PGDA Working Paper #13.2006
- China’s Growth to 2030: The Roles of Demographic Change and Investment Premia
Rod Tyers and Jane Golley
PGDA Working Paper #12.2006
- China’s Growth to 2030: Demographic Change and the Labour Supply Constraint
Jane Golley and Rod Tyers
PGDA Working Paper #11.2006 - The Global Implications of Freer Skilled Migration
Rod Tyers, Iain Bain and Jahnvi Vedi
PGDA Working Paper #10.2006
- Epidemics and Economics
David E. Bloom, David Canning
PGDA Working Paper #9.2006 - Demographic Challenges, Fiscal Sustainability and Economic Growth
David E. Bloom, David Canning
PGDA Working Paper #8.2006 - Endogenous Longevity and Economic Growth
Jocelyn Finlay
PGDA Working Paper #7.2006
- The Influence of Medicare Home Health Payment Incentives: Does Payer Source Matter?
David C. Grabowski, David G. Stevenson, Haiden A. Huskamp, Nancy L. Keating
PGDA Working Paper #6.2005 - The Political Economy of Reform in Brazil’s Civil Servant Pension Scheme
André Medici
PGDA Working Paper #5.2005 - The Centrality of Variability How Society Shapes Patterns of Aging
Lisa F. Berkman, Maria Glymour
PGDA Working Paper #4.2004 - Perceptions of Risk and Strategies for Prevention: Responses to HIV/AIDS in Rural Malawi
Kirsten P. Smith, Susan Cotts Watkins
PGDA Working Paper #3.2005 - The Effect of Improvements in Health and Longevity on Optimal Retirement and Saving
David E. Bloom, David Canning, Michael Moore
HIGH Working Paper #2.2005 - Global Demographic Change: Dimensions and Economic Significance
David E. Bloom, David Canning
HIGH Working Paper #1.2005