Thanks in part to improvements in public health, each country has made heroic advances in economic development, with GDP real growth rates in 2004-05 of about 9 percent for China and 7 percent for India, according to World Bank figures. In 1900, average life expectancy at birth for both countries was estimated to be about 25 years. In the last few years, life expectancy has climbed to 72 years in China and 64 years in India. Yet each also faces huge problems of social development, particularly with respect to disparities in health, wealth, and education among their widely diverse populations.
In China, a health system forged under Mao's regime and staffed by "barefoot doctors" with little training provided technically poor but widely accessible minimal health care to hundreds of millions of people. That system was dismantled in the 1980s, however, and nothing has yet replaced it in the rural areas, now home to 60 percent of China's population. An estimated 300 to 600 million people will be moving in the next 15 years from the agricultural sector to work in newly expanded cities in the industrial sector. For health, this transition will create enormous challenges--including providing basic services to migrants, protecting air and water quality, and preventing occupational injuries that are already out of control.
The modernization of India's economy began later and somewhat differently than China's, with a focus on creating a knowledge-based economy. Two decades ago, computers would have been seen as an inappropriate technology for India; now, a third of all software in the world is written there. India too is industrializing, with an emphasis on high technology, including biotechnology and pharmaceuticals. Nevertheless, 600 million people living in over half a million rural villages are still earning less than U.S. $2 per day, with little or no access to health facilities.
Both China and India have made enormous strides in reducing malnutrition and curbing the spread of infectious diseases. Each has made spectacular gains in immunizing their children. But in both, the majority of health care financing is private, with little insurance coverage; thus households must make large out-of-pocket payments for health services, and catastrophic illness is the major cause of bankruptcy. As these countries have modernized and children under five have ceased to die in great numbers, each has to face the inevitable problems of chronic diseases, from cardiovascular disease to obesity, diabetes, and cancer. In the wake of emerging infectious diseases ranging from SARS to avian flu, both countries recognize the need to improve their public health systems and provide access to basic preventive as well as curative health services.
ROLE FOR HSPH--AND A PERSONAL JOURNEY
For me personally, both China and India hold very special meaning. China, with its rich history and culture, first became part of my life as my wife, Irene, a scholar of Chinese philosophy, moved from the role of graduate student at Columbia University to that of chair of the Department of Asian Studies at Barnard College. Then, in 1984, it was my privilege to be invited to China to help negotiate the entry of the Chinese Immunology Society into the International Union for Scientific Societies. There I was befriended by Ma Haide (George Hatem), one of two Western physicians who accompanied Mao on the great Long March. Dr. Ma is credited with helping create a public health system that virtually eliminated sexually transmitted diseases in China. As chair of the Immunology of Leprosy Committee at the World Health Organization (WHO), I helped to engage him in the cause of initiating treatment for leprosy patients.
In 2003 came SARS--a viral disease that rose to crisis levels before China's leaders recognized the importance of the problem. At HSPH, transmission modeling was being done for the first time in real time during the course of an epidemic by a doctoral student, Christina Mills, and two junior epidemiology faculty at HSPH, Megan Murray and Marc Lipsitch. This outstanding team did the work--and as dean I was invited to meet with the Minister of Health and his senior officials to consider how HSPH might help them improve their response to emerging public health challenges. In the fall of 2005, we at HSPH were honored with a visit of Minister of Health Gao Qiang, who delivered a thoughtful assessment of China's efforts to improve health and public health. One of several ways in which HSPH could help, we agreed, was by providing advanced training for mid-level officials in China's central and provincial ministries of health. In August of 2006, the first group of 28 outstanding future leaders completed HSPH's inaugural three-week China Senior Health Executive Training Program, led by Yuanli Liu, an assistant professor of international health in the Department of Population and International Health.
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