We are making advances in predicting the emergence of diseases in new locations.
For decades, researchers have endeavored to better predict the incidence of vector-borne disease on a planet with a changing climate. Methods, though imperfect, have advanced considerably and led to the tantalizing prospect of forecasting the emergence of diseases such as malaria and dengue in new locations.
This paper, written by Harvard C-CHANGE Co-Director Dr. Aaron Bernstein, presents some of these recent advances and considers them in the context of their prospective aim: to prevent harm from vector-borne disease.
Climate Change and the Crystal Ball of Vector-Borne Disease Forecasts. Aaron Bernstein. Current Climate Change Reports. December 2015, Volume 1, Issue 4, pp 217–223.